New Eskom report warns of possible generation gaps in coming five years

Eskom’s newly released Medium-Term System Adequacy Outlook (MTSAO) report highlights several risks to South Africa’s electricity supply for the period 2018 to 2023 and indicates that additional capacity will be required during the period to restore generation adequacy should the energy availability factor (EAF) from the coal fleet fall below 75%. The document tests six EAF scenarios across two demand forecasts: a moderate demand scenario, represented by average yearly growth of 1.9%; and a low demand scenario of 0.64% a year over the five-year period.